Download Avoiding the Abyss: Progress, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead by Barry R. Schneider, Jim A. Davis PDF

By Barry R. Schneider, Jim A. Davis

In December 1993, Secretary of protection Les Aspin introduced the Counterproliferation Initiative, a reaction to President Clinton's statement that if we don't stem the proliferation of the world's deadliest guns, no democracy can consider safe. This well timed ebook brings jointly contributions from a variety of specialists to aid readers know the way some distance the country has come due to the fact that then—and what nonetheless must happen.Insightful essays study: fingers keep an eye on treaty courses; export keep watch over regimes; interdiction; diplomatic/economic/political persuasion and sanctions; deterrence; counterforce; energetic and passive safeguard; and end result administration. Many optimistic adjustments have happened considering 1993. Regime alterations in Iraq and South Africa have got rid of a few WMD proliferation threats. Saddam Hussein has been overthrown, and a brand new Iraq is starting to emerge. South Africa's clandestine WMD application has it seems that ended. Libya introduced it has given up its efforts to have lively WMD courses. The Taliban and al Qaeda were routed in Afghanistan, most likely delaying efforts to boost or purchase WMD.Yet, states proceed to improve and export WMD and/or their supply structures. As many as 30 states are nonetheless believed to have both a nuclear, organic, or chemical guns software. a few have all 3. India and Pakistan have stated courses. Abdul Qadeer Khan, the scientist who directed the Pakistani A-bomb application, has admitted promoting nuclear guns designs, and nuclear enrichment apparatus to Libya, Iran, and North Korea. His colleagues have held discussions with al Qaeda representatives. Ayman Al-Zawahiri, quantity within the al Qaeda chain of command, claims that the 17 November has numerous suitcase A-bombs from the previous Soviet Union. apparently transparent to many who Iran has a wish to advance nuclear guns. Syria nonetheless has a chemical guns application. North Korea's WMD profile has escalated.As keeping off the Abyss so convincingly demonstrates, a lot has been comprehensive because the Counterproliferation Initiative used to be launched-but a lot paintings nonetheless lies forward. it really is a tremendous tale for each American.

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Extra resources for Avoiding the Abyss: Progress, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead in Combating the WMD Threat

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S. ”48 Libya is believed to possess just over 200 aging Soviet era Scud-B missiles, but until recently it continued to express interest in acquiring longer-range systems from North Korea, including the 1,000-kilometer range No Dong missile from North Korea. According to the agreements with Libya, the United States has already, in 2004, removed all of Libya’s longest-range missiles. The United States and the United Kingdom have also agreed “in principle” to permit Qaddafi’s regime to keep a number of medium-range Scud-B missiles if it conforms to the agreed range and payload limitations.

S. mass media headquarters in late 2001. Bush administration officials raised the concern that Saddam might pass weapons of mass destruction to terrorist groups before the recent Iraq War. Traditional approaches to prevent nonstate acquisition of such weapons have had questionable utility against nonstate actors. The threat of weapons of mass destruction finding their way into the hands of terrorists raises major challenges to the diplomatic and military establishments to develop new ways to protect American interests.

The breakup of the Soviet Union threatened to dramatically worsen the already formidable challenge of containing the WMD proliferation threat that previously existed. A second reason for concern in the early 1990s was the confrontation with Iraq in the 1990–1991 Gulf War and its aftermath. Iraq under Saddam Hussein was known to have employed chemical weapons in the 1980– 1988 Iran-Iraq War, as well as against their own Iraqi Kurds. After Operation Desert Storm, UN inspectors discovered a multipronged and very ambitious Iraqi nuclear program.

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